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Public Safety Issues at the Proposed
Harpswell LNG Terminal
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James A. Fay
77 Massachusetts Avenue, Rm. 3-258
Cambridge, MA 02139
November 5, 2003
1 Introduction
Fairwinds 1
has proposed to lease a site
owned by the Town of Harpswell, Maine, for the purpose of constructing and
operating a liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal. The LNG would be
unloaded from marine tankers and stored on site for subsequent regasification
and transmission via underwater pipeline to Cousins I. and thence overland to
connect to a Portland Pipeline transmission line in Maine.
Natural gas, a hydrocarbon fuel, is usually piped directly
from a gas well to the end consumer, never being stored locally in large
amounts. When cooled to liquid form, however, as much as 50,000 tons can be
stored in insulated tanks on land or aboard ship. In this form it is
especially hazardous if it escapes by accident from its container, spilling
onto ground or water and turning very rapidly into gaseous form whereupon it
will mix with air and then burn if ignited. An LNG import terminal is
therefore a hazardous industrial facility which could experience accidental
fires that might harm surrounding populations and property.
To build and operate an LNG terminal at the Harpswell site,
Fairwinds must obtain permission from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
(FERC), an independent agency that regulates interstate commerce in natural
gas and electricity. Although primarily an economic regulator, FERC has
asserted jurisdiction over the safety aspects of the LNG facilities it
permits. FERC requires facility owners to meet certain technical standards in
site selection and equipment design and operation before it awards the right
to import LNG and to connect the facility to an interstate natural gas
transmission line. FERC’s jurisdiction does not extend to safety aspects of
marine tankers; they are regulated by the U.S. Coast Guard. 2
FERC’s objective in safety regulation is to limit, but not
necessarily prevent, harm to persons and property outside the confines of the
terminal site, should there be an accidental release of LNG at the site. The
principal harmful effects are two: vapor plumes or clouds that can be ignited
outside the site boundaries and harmful thermal radiation from on-site fires
that extends across the site borders. But FERC’s safety rules do not consider
all credible spills on the site or from the LNG tankers while being unloaded.
This paper explains the safety requirements that will likely
be applied by federal regulators to the proposed LNG terminal in Harpswell. It
delineates the geographic extent of harmful effects that could be expected
from LNG spills at the site, including those that are excluded from FERC and
U.S. Coast Guard regulations.
2 FERC site selection criteria
FERC rules3 require the LNG terminal owner to install extensive
technological features that will limit the harmful consequences of an
accidental spill of LNG to within the property line enclosing the terminal.
The harmful effects are twofold: combustible mixtures of vapor and air, such
as might be driven by the wind blowing over an evaporating pool of spilled
LNG, and thermal radiation from a fire burning above a liquid spill on the
site. The types of spills to be considered are also twofold: a
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spill from transfer piping connecting the storage tanks and
the regasification or unloading facilities, and the failure of the primary
storage tank enclosure.
Limiting the harmful effects requires the construction of
impounding areas surrounding spill sources that will collect the spilled
liquid and slow its vaporization or burning rate. If the latter are
sufficiently small, harmful effects will not extend beyond the site line. For
transfer line spills, the LNG is collected in a central impounding area. For
storage tank spills, the inner storage container is surrounded by a secondary
containment tank of slightly larger size, as shown in Figure 1, which can
contain all the LNG that might spill from the inner primary container. The
harmful effect of ignitable natural gas vapor is measured by the flammability
distance, a distance down wind from the spill site at which the vapor has been
so diluted by mixing with air that it cannot be ignited. Any ignition at a
closer distance can propagate a flame, but that flame will not propagate
beyond the flammability distance. If the latter distance lies within the site
boundary, no flame can extend beyond that boundary.
Thermal radiation from on-site LNG fires fed by an evaporating
pool of spilled LNG can cause first, second or third degree burns to the skin
of humans exposed to the radiation, depending upon the intensity of radiation.
The least intense thermal radiation that FERC rules allow humans outside the
site boundary to be exposed to is 5 kilowatts per square meter, an amount that
produces second degree burns after only thirty seconds exposure. 4
The FERC requirements for the proposed Harpswell terminal can
be estimated from the Final Environmental Impact Statement for the Hackberry
LNG project in Louisiana. 5
This project, consisting of three
storage tanks and two unloading piers, employs the technology likely to be
used at the Harpswell facility. Values from this report of the flammability
and thermal radiation distances for a transfer line spill, and the thermal
radiation distance for a primary containment spill, are listed in Table 1,
together with the amounts of the respective spill volumes. These distances are
shown
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as circles in the map of Figure 2, centered on the likely
location of the spill site. It would appear that for these FERC-defined spills
neither radiation nor flammability will exceed the FERC limits beyond the site
boundary.
3 Risks that FERC ignores
There are several important public safety risks that are not
considered in the FERC regulations discussed above.
1. First of all, FERC allows damaging thermal radiation beyond
the site boundary as long as its level is below 5 kilowatts per square meter.
However, it is not until the thermal radiation intensity falls below 1.6
kilowatts per square meter that there is no damage to exposed humans. A safe
radiation distance for fires would be that for which the thermal radiation
level does not exceed 1.6 kilowatts per square meter.
2. In considering a spill from the primary LNG tank into the
secondary containment vessel, FERC regulations ignore the possibility that
this spill may not be accompanied by a fire, but instead might evolve LNG
vapor that could be ignited beyond the site boundary. The flammability
distance for this type of accident should not extend beyond the site boundary.
3. Most of all, FERC’s regulations ignore the greatest risks
of all, that foreign or domestic terrorists could destroy the storage tank
primary and secondary containment systems, or the LNG tanker cargo hold,
allowing LNG to spill unhindered onto ground or water, where it may evaporate
or burn. Because the lateral extent of such spills would be so much greater
than those considered in the FERC regulations, it is to be expected that their
harmful effects would exist very far beyond the site boundaries.
To show how public safety can be adversely affected by
credible spills that have been overlooked by FERC, we have extended Table 1 to
include the effects listed above. This expanded assessment is listed in Table
2. Two additional spills are considered, those from the secondary storage tank
containment system and a single hold of a marine tanker (last two rows of
Table 2). For these and the previous spills of Table 1, the safe radiation
distance, mentioned in item 1 above, has been calculated for all spills (last
column of Table 2). Also, the flammability distance for the FERC primary
containment failure accident is shown in the flammability column. The non-FERC
flammability and radiation distances of Table 2 are shown in Figure 3. All of
these extend beyond the site boundaries, especially so for the tanker and
secondary tank spills with
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Table 2: Flammability and radiation distances for all credible
spills
| Spill
source |
Size
(ton) |
Flammability
(ft) |
1.6 kW/m2
Radiation (ft) |
| Transfer
piping |
840 |
770
|
1230 |
| Storage
tank (primary) |
74,000 |
9500 |
1490 |
| Storage
tank (secondary) |
74,000 |
|
9630 |
| Tanker
hold |
6,000
|
|
5780 |
fire. But even the FERC spills with fire from transfer piping
and primary containment send damaging radiation beyond the site boundaries.
Altogether, about 3 square miles of the west Harpswell peninsular are at risk
for damage to humans from on-site spills at the proposed LNG terminal. The
blue circle in Figure 3 depicts the flammability distance for the primary tank
spill without fire. For any such spill, the flammable vapor plume or cloud
would extend from the tank in the wind direction, encompassing an area smaller
than that of the blue circle. Winds from the southwest, and clockwise to the
northeast, would send the vapor over land areas of Harpswell.
The spills described in Tables 1 and 2 do not include spills
without fire from the secondary containment containment of the storage tank
and the LNG tanker. One estimate for such spills, almost certainly low, gives
flammability distances of 3.25 and 2.5 miles, respectively. 6
If plotted as in Figure 3, these
radii would encompass much of Orr's and Bailey Islands, as well as additional
areas on Harpswell neck.
4 Conclusions
The federal safety requirements for the proposed Harpswell LNG
terminal will not prevent harm to humans outside the site boundary for the
spill scenarios that FERC considers. For all credible spills, including
terrorist attacks on the storage tank and LNG tanker, the danger zone for
humans extends nearly two miles from the terminal site, encompassing three
square miles of land on the Harpswell peninsular.
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